Research
Open, numbers-first write-ups testing what our hiring data actually predicts — including the results that don't hold up.
October 29, 2026
Sustained Hiring Trends Hold Up Better Than Spikes — And Now We Can Prove It
We tested whether TalNexis's two acceleration signals — Hiring Velocity and Category Spike — predict durable future hiring. Neither predicts growth, but one holds up meaningfully better than the other.
October 29, 2026
We Tested Whether Our Hiring Signals Predict Stock Moves — They Don't, Yet
We backtested two TalNexis hiring signals against real stock performance, benchmarked against the tech sector, and corrected for overlapping trades. Here's what held up and what didn't.